Thursday, 20 August 2015

My La Liga preview 2015-16

La Liga returns after an interesting summer of transfers on and off the pitch. We have lost the likes of Mario Mandžukić, Xavi, Iker Casillas, Carlos Bacca, Andoni Iraola and Sergio García but on the flip side we have the likes of Jackson Martínez, Ciro Immobile, Evgen Konoplyanka and Danilo joining. Also this season marks the return of former players, Rafael Van Der Vaart is back pitching up at Real Betis, Filipe Luís is back at Atlético and my personal favourite is Juan Carlos Valerón back in the top flight with his hometown club Las Palmas. It makes for an interesting season at least.

Title Race:

Expect the Big Two to be up there as per usual. Barcelona have despite a "transfer ban" have strengthened their squad and will have the advantage of two fresh players in January in Arda Turan and Aleix Vidal. A cause for concern for Barca has been the recent super cup clashes. Granted Super Cup games are glorified friendlies but the fact that Barca have conceded eight goals in two games isn't ideal preparation.
Real Madrid gave stalwart goalkeeper Iker Casillas the boot this summer and continue to chase David De Gea as they look to get back among trophies. With the exception of Danilo the squad hasn't really been strenghtened and the appointment of Rafa Benítez is interesting to say the least. Madrid's season will depend on how quickly Benítez gets this side on song with his methods.
We could just have a third name in the race this season in Atlético Madrid who have gone about this summer by making some pretty good signings. The likes of Jackson Martínez, Luciano Vietto, Yannick Ferreira-Carrasco, Stefan Savić and the returning Óliver Torres have added depth and quality to the squad. Keeping the likes of Griezmann and Godín will be vital as well. Atlético could surprise many and launch a challenge, they certainly have the squad to give the big two something to think about.

Champions League:

Last season Valencia secured 4th place on the final day of the season, this campaign expectation as well as a European campaign will have to be juggled. In terms of the team the squad hasn't really been strengthened significantly. The likes of André Gomes, Rodrigo and Joao Cancelo have made their loans permanent while Álvaro Negredo was signed for the massive €30 million fee as part of the loan that took him to the Mestalla. Australian keeper Matt Ryan has signed as cover for Diego Alves but the big story has been surrounding Nicolás Otamendi.  The big Argentine defender has been linked with a move away and keeping him will show Los Che mean business in terms of their ambitions of maybe pushing beyond a champions league place.
Back-to-back Europa League triumphs has seen Sevilla's stature rise once again after a doldrum period. A champions league campaign couldn't help keep Carlos Bacca at the club but they have used that money very wisely indeed. Once again Sevilla went bargain hunting and they have strengthened their squad big time. Players such as N'Zonzi, Mariano, Konoplyanka and Immobile will add depth to the squad. They should be in the reckoning for the top 4 once more.
The yellow Submarine of Villarreal have lost the likes of Gio Dos Santos but have bought Roberto Soldado back to La Liga. If the former Valencia poacher can rediscover his pre-Tottenham form then he could be the signing that gets Villarreal firing for a top 4 finish.
The Basques from Athletic Bilbao shocked Barcelona in the super cup with a 4-0 victory and if they can repeat that over the course of the season they could be a dark horse to finish 4th again like in 2013-14. The over reliance on Aduriz however could be dangerous for them.

Europa League:

Real Sociedad will improve this season. Coach David Moyes now has the benefit of a full pre-season to get the Txuri-urdin into shape. The signings of Diego Reyes, Bruma and Concha add some pace and options but its the signing of Jonathas that has really got the attention. The Brazilian enjoyed a great season for Elche keeping them up, on the pitch at least. He brings physicality and ice-cool finishing to the Sociedad attack so expect an improvement this season.
Celta Vigo impressed with their style of football last season under Eduardo Berizzo and should they keep Nolito they could go one better this season and get a European place. Larrivey has departed for the UAE but they have recruited John Guidetti and re-signed Iago Aspas. Should be in the reckoning to push for Europe.
Despite being newly promoted I fancy Real Betis to be my dark horses to challenge for a European place. They might not finish as high but their summer signings are impressive. The evergreen Rubén Castro will again be relied upon for goals but with Van Der Vaart and Juan Vargas in the side as well they could have enough to push for Europe.

Mid-Table safety:

Espanyol these days seem to always fall into this category. They have lost their key player of recent years Sergio García but have signed Gerard Moreno from Villarreal for quiet a cheap fee who could be a very capable replacement. Hector Moreno is gone as well although he wasn't quite as good last season due to coming back from a lengthy injury. Should be ok from the drop but Europe might be again too far out of reach for Espanyol.
Málaga impressed last season and were threatening to break into Europe until they ran out of steam at the end of the season. However they have lost the two Samu's with both Samu and Castillejo heading to Villarreal. Sergi Darder is also looking likely to be leaving too. Málaga would probably take mid-table now.

Relegation battle:

Levante should be the strongest in this and while they will probably flirt with the drop for a while they should have enough to stay up. The signing of Nabil Ghilas who was one of Córdoba's few impressive performers last season looks particularly good for them. Likewise Verza from Almería, he was one of their better consistent performers in their futile attempt to avoid the drop last season.
Rayo Vallecano the fact that they stay up year after year is a miracle in itself. They have lost a number of players again this summer so the brief for Paco Jémez is keep us up. Their style of scoring more than the opposition should do the trick again this season. of their new signings, Patrick Ebert is one that stands out. The German had an impressive spell at Valladolid the last time he played in La Liga. Others such as Bébé, Juan Carlos in goal and Diego Llorente are decent signings.
They always seem to stick around but Getafe could be right in the mix this season. However similar to Levante, they should have enough to avoid the bottom three at the end but expect a few close calls over the course of the season. New boss Fran Escribá has made some good signings that will help Getafe avoid the drop with the likes of Damián Suárez and Moi Gómez. The Madrid side will also be looking to Pedro Léon once again for creativity.
Having survived on the final day last season, Deportivo La Coruna will be hoping to move up the table in this campaign. I can't see a massive improvement but can see them staying up. The signings of Luis Alberto and Fede Cartabia should give them some more creativity in the team that was lacking at times last season.
Newly promoted Las Palmas will tackle La Liga with a good cantera base as well as a few good prospects. Their main goal threat Sergio Araújo is going to be vital to their chances of staying up. Keeping the Argentine is esential for them and should be leave then the Canary Islanders will have a massive task in staying among the elite.
Granada struggled badly last season. It wasn't till the final four games of the campaign that they managed a run of form which ultimately saved them from relegation. The signings of Edgar Mendez, Rene Krhin and David Lombán will give them a bit more depth this season but I think this might be the campaign that sees Granada slip through the trap door.
Eibar were everyone's favourite underdog last season and although it did end up in relegation on the pitch, the Basque's got a 2nd chance with the demotion of Elche. Last season was based around a good first half of the season followed by a disasterous second half but it's difficult to see anything but a bottom three finish for Eibar this season.
They were a surprise promotion but Sporting Gijón look to be in real trouble. They can't sign players without letting others go, so haven't really strengthened this summer. If they do get some of the players they have been linked with they might make a fight of staying up but ultimately I think Gijón will be slipping back down to the Segunda.

1.       Barcelona
2.       Atlético Madrid
3.       Real Madrid
4.       Sevilla
5.       Valencia
6.       Athletic Bilbao
7.       Villarreal
8.       Real Sociedad
9.       Celta de Vigo
10.   Real Betis
11.   Espanyol
12.   Málaga
13.   Levante
14.   Getafe
15.   Rayo Vallecano
16.   Deportivo La Coruna
17.   Las Palmas
18.   Granada
19.   Eibar

20.   Sporting Gijón

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