Thursday 10 September 2015

An unexpected 2nd chance

The latest round of qualifiers for the European championships in 2016 offered Ireland a 2nd chance of qualification.
Back in June Scotland managed to claim a point in Dublin which gave them the better head-to-head record over Ireland so should the two sides finish level on points it will be the Scots who rank higher.
There were four games left before this double header of games and Ireland really did need a favor from somewhere. That somewhere turned out to be from Georgia. The Georgians have been a tricky opponents despite their results in this group. They were keeping Poland out for long periods in June while we needed an Aiden McGeady special late on to beat them in the 1st game.
Georgia ended up beating Scotland 1-0 thanks to Valeri Qazaishvili's control, turn and shot. The Scots looked out of ideas in trying to rescue a point but that win for Georgia gave Ireland an unexpected 2nd chance, which was taken. A comfortable 4-0 win over bottom side Gibraltar meant Ireland climbed a point clear.
3 days later Scotland hosted Germany and Ireland hosted Georgia. Scotland were not expected to get anything out of their game while pressure was very much on Ireland to get three massive points. Scotland gave Germany a very good go, pegging the world champions back twice before succumbing to a 3rd German goal for which there was no reply. Ireland meanwhile laboured to a narrow 1-0 win. Not a vintage performance at all from Ireland but enough to climb four points clear of Scotland with two games to play.

The final two games are in October and something will have to give. Scotland face Poland at home and Gibraltar away while Ireland have a much more difficult finish with Germany at home and Poland away.
It could very well be decided with the Scotland Poland game. If Scotland lose its over as Ireland will finish 3rd. Germany haven't qualified yet and will do with victory over Ireland. The picture gets a bit darker for Ireland should they lose and Scotland draw or win as it will put Scotland at least 3 points behind Ireland with Gibraltar still to play for the Scots while Ireland face a tricky looking game in Poland.
Of course a famous Irish win over Germany will end any doubt over Scotland while also propelling Ireland into the frame for automatic qualification with a winner take all clash with Poland to finish the group.

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